ByronBlog

Byron Matthews, a sociologist retired from the University of Maryland Baltimore County and a partner in an educational software company, lives near Santa Fe, NM.

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Location: New Mexico, United States

Monday, May 27, 2013

Memorial Day prediction

Toby Keith - COURTESY OF THE RED, WHITE AND BLUE (THE ANGRY AMERICAN)

Very stirring, no doubt.  But whose ass will end up with the boot in it?

Color me highly pessimistic. By 18-24 months after we leave Afghanistan it will be like we were never there. We're trying to accomplish something that is no longer doable, if it ever was. When you announce a withdrawal date, you should pack up and leave that same day, because it's over and everybody knows it, especially the enemy. I expect to see the Afghani version of our loyalist Vietnamese hanging from the skids of the last US helicopters leaving the embassy in Saigon. Karzai will live in luxury on the French Riviera, becoming richer yet by giving speeches and seminars to appreciative European audiences, detailing how clueless and inept the whole US effort was.  

Iraq was doable, and after many missteps it was partly done and could have become a reasonably democratic beacon for the region. But the Obama regime has, for its own political reasons, been deliberately and systematically pissing away that whole effort and whatever fruits it could have yielded.

In its day, the Persian Empire was the greatest, by far, that the world had ever seen, and it may be that again. The West, fat and happy, has been steadily running out of moral energy; the East is lean and hungry, and on a mission from God. We think we can win with technology (drones!), but technology can be copied or stolen and used in new ways. Primitive IED's have taken a terrible toll.

Our advantage in technology will not decide things. More important is the fact that we no longer have the kind of moral certitude that justifies ruthless, wholesale slaughter of the enemy, the destruction of his cities, his food supply, his economy, or any of rest of the brutal, nasty stuff that it takes to win wars. We are technologically advanced, but the moral advancement that we take pride in (multicultural gay marriage!) makes us increasingly ill-equipped to defeat the kind of enemy that is rising in the East. Our response to the so-called "Arab Spring" is a telling example. By refusing, on moral grounds, to support the tyrant bastards who could protect our interests by suppressing radical Islam, we are enabling the rise of Islamist/Jihadist states, sworn enemies who proclaim themselves to be dedicated to our destruction, across the whole southern shore of the Mediterranean.

There will be no Islamist insurgency of any consequence in China, because the Chinese will hunt them down and kill them like roaches. We, on the other hand, being morally more advanced, read them their rights, provide them with legal counsel, continue to pay them welfare and other benefits, agonize over whether to try them in military or civilian courts, and on, and on. The implied question and its answer is so obvious I won't even bother to pose it.

Muslims took Spain by military force, then built pleasure palaces like the Alhambra that were the most beautiful the world had ever seen. The refinement and intricacy of their decorative art became nothing short of amazing, ravishing. But vengeful, ruthless military force fueled by militant Christianity eventually defeated them and lay waste to most of what they'd created. The beauty of their fine art did not save them, and the ingenuity of our technology will not save us.

Byron

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