ByronBlog

Byron Matthews, a sociologist retired from the University of Maryland Baltimore County and a partner in an educational software company, lives near Santa Fe, NM.

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Location: New Mexico, United States

Saturday, June 23, 2012

Worse than random numbers

Junk Science Week: Climate models fail reality test

Climate computer models are far too crude to be worth taking seriously, and they will remain that way a long way into the future. The confidence intervals around estimated values are so wide as to be perfectly useless for any practical purpose whatsoever.  Much money could be saved by throwing darts instead.  Blindfolded.

The idea of making important economic policy from the predictions if these models is an idea so perfectly ludicrous that it could only sound plausible to somebody as ignorant and politically-driven as Barack Obama.  The whole enterprise is a travesty of science of the worst kind. The Piltdown Man fraud was nothing compared with this.

Byron

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